Multi-Disciplinary Monitoring, Modelling and Forecasting of Volcanic Hazard



OUR GOALS



Collapse scar on the dome of the Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat - Photo by Richard Herd courtesy MVO




Our general aim is to

(i) design an improved multi-parameter volcano monitoring techniques,
(ii) obtain a better understanding of volcanic processes by integrating these multi-parameter data sets with modelling procedures, and
(iii) employ the resulting new insights in risk forecasting and hazard mitigation.

In the following this aim is broken down into five objectives:

  • (1) Development of a modern multi-sensor monitoring system and multi-parameter interpretation strategies.
  • (2) Quantitative evaluation of magma properties and their connection to magma storage and flow processes.
  • (3) Develop an understanding how to link internal and external magmatic processes quantitatively to observable signals.
  • (4) Evaluation of patterns of volcanic activity, identification of key parameters or sets of parameters which can be used for forecasting by using deterministic and stochastic statistical tools.
  • (5) Dissemination strategies of expert opinion and development of public relations.