IAVCEI/IASPEI Commission
Volcano Seismology
in co-operation with
ESC Working Group
Seismic Phenomena Associated with Volcanic Activity
organized a specialists workshop on:
Bringing geophysical volcano monitoring techniques to an operational level
Eruption during breakfast (bottles are from previous night!), Lokon volcano from Tomohon , North Sulawesi, Indonesia
September 8th - 14th, 2013
Convenors:
Surono, Centre for Volcanology and Geological Hazard Mitigation Geological Agency, Bandung, Indonesia
Jurgen Neuberg, University of Leeds, UK
Roberto Carniel, University of Udine, Italy
This workshop addressed geophysical forecasting methods in all major volcanic monitoring disciplines such as seismicity, ground deformation and gas emission. The emphasis was on assessing these methods regarding their applicability on an operational level as found in a volcano observatory or a similar institution charged with giving guidance and advice to decision makers at short- and mid-term time scales. The number of participants was intentionally limited in order to focus on informal presentations with plenty of time for discussion, rather than 15 minute conference contributions.
The Jhoanie Hotel in Tomohon was our base, easily accessed from Manado, Sulawesi.
Local logistics was efficiently handled by Sofie Yusmira Oktane
(Center for Volcanology and Geological Hazard Mitigation Geological Agency, Bandung, Indonesia)
The Bruno Martinelli Fund was founded in 2001 to continue the support of scientific and personal exchange which Bruno encouraged. It is used for international meeting/workshop travel grants to young researchers or graduate students from Latin American and Caribbean countries. Unfortunately this year no young researcher could use the grants, although one was awarded.
Language and Conference Fee
The official language of the workshop was English. As usual there was no registration fee except participants brought a bottle of wine and/or typical sweet of their own country, as it has become tradition for this annual meeting.
Field excursion
Field Excursion was guided by John Pallister on 11 September.
Field Guide can be found here
List of participants:
1. Jurgen Neuberg, J.Neuberg@see.leeds.ac.uk
2. Roberto Carniel, carniel65@gmail.com
3. Heidi Soosalu, h.soosalu@egk.ee
4. John Pallister, jpallist@usgs.gov
5. Benoit Taisne, BTaisne@ntu.edu.sg
6. Rebecca Salvage, R.O.Salvage11@leeds.ac.uk
7. Jeffrey B Johnson, jeffrey.b.johnson@gmail.com
8. Art Jolly, A.Jolly@gns.cri.nz
9. Philippe Jousset, pjousset@gfz-potsdam.de
10. Anais Boue, Anais.Boue@univ-savoie.fr
11. Thomas Lecocq, thomas.lecocq@oma.be
12. David Pyle, David.Pyle@earth.ox.ac.uk
13. Agathe Liliane Schmid, ASchmid@ntu.edu.sg
14. Chris Kilburn, c.kilburn@ucl.ac.uk
15. Sri Hidayati, ichi@vsi.esdm.go.id
16. Hetty Triastuti, hetty@vsi.esdm.go.id
17. Sofie Yusmira Oktane, sofie@vsi.esdm.go.id
Workshop Program
September 9
Mohammad Hendrasto (Totok), Jurgen Neuberg (Locko):
Introduction
Art Jolly:
"Seismo-acoustic analysis of the 6 August 2012 Tongariro eruption: key observations and a comparison to active source data."
Philippe Jousset:
"Observations from a broad-band seismic network in the South of Bandung, West Java, Indonesia“
Chris Kilburn:
"Physical models for short-term forecasts of volcanic eruptions"
Anais Bouè:
"Improving the robustness of FFM-based methods for eruption forecasting. Application to Volcan de Colima, Mexico."
Becky Salvage:
"Searching the seismic soup for similarities"
General Discussion
September 10
John Pallister:
Introduction into the local geology and monitoring program - Fieldtrip information
Jurgen Neuberg:
"Conceptual models to use VT-, VLF- and LF-events for forecasting volcanic activity."
Benoit Taisne:
"From seismic network optimization to real-time diagnosis of magma migration"
Jeff Johnson:
"Capabilities and limitations of infrasound monitoring of volcanic eruptions".
Heidi Soosalu:
"Seismicity around Askja: Tectonic faulting and magmatism"
Jeff Johnson:
"Infrasonic basics"
September 11
Fieldtrip: (John Pallister et al.)
September 12
(Pak Surono) John Pallister, Philippe Jousset:
Podium Discussion: The eruptions of Gunung Merapi - lessons learnt
Pak Kristianto:
Activity of Rokatenda volcano: 2012 – 2013
Roberto Carniel:
"Chasing regimes and components within a time series"
Thomas Lecocq:
"Automated analysis of ambient seismic noise"
Agathe Schmid:
"Predictability skills of a multi-parameter monitoring (Piton de la Fournaise) and the promising contribution of the WOVOdat database to extend our statistical model worldwide"
Jeff Johnson:
"Joint seismic, infrasonic, geodetic, and optical observations of cyclic eruptions at Santiaguito (Guatemala)"
September 13
Jeff Johnson:
"Joint seismic, infrasonic, geodetic, and optical observations of cyclic eruptions at Santiaguito (Guatemala)"
David Pyle:
"A forensic analysis of the Montserrat Eruption: approach, highlights and implications"
John Pallister:
"Faulting within the Mt St Helens conduit and implications for volcanic earthquakes"
Hetty Triastuty:
"Seismicity of Guutur volcano for the last five years"
Discussion: "Key questions in volcano seismology and how to tackle them"
The IAVCEI/IASPEI Commission on Volcano Seismology: Initiatives and Responsibilities